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論文名稱 Title |
通貨膨脹、成長與福利:小型開放經濟的分析 Inflation,growth and welfare in a small open economy |
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系所名稱 Department |
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畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
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學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
44 |
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研究生 Author |
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指導教授 Advisor |
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召集委員 Convenor |
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口試委員 Advisory Committee |
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口試日期 Date of Exam |
2009-06-02 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2009-08-11 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
通貨膨脹、成長、門檻水準、小型開放 Small open economy, Inflation, Growth, Threshold Effects |
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統計 Statistics |
本論文已被瀏覽 5942 次,被下載 1908 次 The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 5942 times, has been downloaded 1908 times. |
中文摘要 |
摘要 本文是以 Shaw, Lai and Chang(2005) 模型為基礎,建立一個小型開放經濟體的貨幣內生成長模型。採用 Minea and Villieu (2008) 概念,納入Barro(1990) 政府支出具有生產性功能的特色,藉以建構一個小型開放貨幣內生長成模型,在此架構下,探討當央行以名目貨幣供給成長率指標作為貨幣政策,對相關總體經濟變數成長率有何影響。此外,我們也發現到政府支出具有外部性時,通貨膨脹率與經濟成長之間的非線性關係。並且,在刺激經濟成長的同時,對社會福利的影響也是我們所要討論的部分。於是,檢視Barro(1990) 看法的頑強性也是本文的另一重點。 本文主要的結論為,在政府支出具有外部性時,貨幣供給成長率會具有高、低門檻;當貨幣供給成長率在高門檻之上以及低門檻之下時,將與經濟成長率之間具有負向變動關係。而介於兩門檻之間時,兩者之間具有正向變動關係。此結果與近期實證上通貨膨脹率與經濟成長率之間具有非線性的關係相似。且當政府支出對私部門的生產沒有外部性時,貨幣供給增加將產生對經濟成長不利的效果,且通貨膨脹率與經濟成長率之間恆具有負向變動關係。再者,我們可以得知,最終在產出成長率高於消費成長率的情況下,Barro(1990) 有關「成長表現最佳確保總體的福利水準最佳」的結論,在本文中將會成立。 。 |
Abstract |
none |
目次 Table of Contents |
目次 第一章 緒論 第一節 研究動機 1 第二節 文獻回顧 3 第三節 本文架構 5 第二章 基本模型 第一節 代表性個人 6 第二節 政府與中央銀行 10 第三節 總體均衡與動態均衡分析 11 第三章 名目貨幣供給成長率指標 第一節 政策效果分析 18 第二節 通貨膨脹與經濟成長 23 第三節 福利水準 26 第四章 結論 34 附錄 35 參考文獻 37 |
參考文獻 References |
參考文獻 Aschauer, D. A. (1989),“ Is Public Investment, the Rate of Return, and Optimal Fiscal Policy,”London:Johns Hopkins University Press. Barro, R. J. (1981),“Output Effect of Government Purchases,”Journal of Political Economy 86:1086-1121. Barro, R. J. (1990),“Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous,”Journal of Political Economy 98:103-125. Barro, R. J. (1995),“Inflation and Economic Growth,”Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin 166-176. Basu, P. (2001),“Seigniorage, Reserve Ratio and Growth,”Journal of Macroeconomics 23: 397-416. Bose, N. (2002),“Inflation, the Credit Market, and Economic Growth,”Oxford Economic Papers 54: 412-434. Chang, W. Y., and Lai, C. C. (2000),“Anticipated Inflation in a Monetary Economy with Endogenous Growth,” Economica 67: 339-417. Feenstra, R.(1986),“Functional Equivalence between Liquidity Costs and the Utility of Money,”Journal of Monetary Economics 32: 417-458. Fischer, S. (1993),“The Role of Macroeconomic Factors in Growth,”Journal of Monetary Economics 32: 485-512. Greiner, A., and Semmler, W.(2000),“Endogenous Growth, Government Debt, and Budgetary Regimes,”Journal of Macroeconomics 22: 363-384. Hung, F. S.(2008)“Non-productive loans Threshold Effects in the Inflation-Growth relationship,” Oxford Economic Papers 60:138-342. Khan, M.S. and Senhadji, A.S. (2001),“Threshold Effects in the Relationship between Inflation and Growth,”IMF Staff Papers 48:1-21. Lucas, R. E.(1976),“Adjustment Cost and the Theory of Supply,”Journal of Political Economy 75: 321-334. Lucas, R. E.(1988),“On the Mechanics of Economic Development,” Journal of Monetary Economics 22: 3-42. Minea,A. and Villieu,P. (2008),“Threshold Effects in Monetary and Fiscal Policies in a Growth Model:Assessing the Importance of the Financial System”Journal of Macroeconomics 31:304-319. Palivos, T. and Yip, C.K.(1995),“Government Expenditure Financing in an Endogenous Growth Model:A Mathematical Theory of Saving,”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 27: 1195-78. Romer, P. M.(1986),“Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth” Journal of Political Economy 94: 1002-37. Shaw, M. F., Lai, C. C.and Chang, W. Y.(2005),“Anticipated Policy and Endogenous Growth in a Small Open Monetary Economy,” Journal of International Money and Finance 24: 719-743. Sidrauski, M. (1967),“Rational Choice and Patterns of Growth in a Monetary Economy American Economic,”American Economic Review 57: 534-544. Solow, R. M.(1956),“A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth,”Quarterly Journal of Economics 70: 65-94. Stockman, A.C. (1981),“ Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash-in-advance economy,”Journal of Monetary 8:387-393. Sarrel,M.(1996),“Nonlinear Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth,”IMF Staff Papers 43:199-215. Toshiki, S.J. (2008),“Fiscal and Monetary Policy in an Endogenous Growth Model with Public Capital,”Public Finance Analysis 64: 403-421. Turnovsky, S. J. (1996a),“Fiscal Policy, Growth, and Macroeconomic Performance in a Small Open Economy,”Journal of International Economics 40: 41-46. Turnovsky, S.J. (1996b),“Endogenous Growth in a Dependent Economy with Traded and Nontraded Capital,”Review of International Economics 4: 300-321. Van der Ploeg, F. and Alogoskoufis, G. S. (1994),“Money and Endogenous Growth,”Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 26: 771-791. Wang, P. and Yip, C.K. (1992),“Alternative Approach to Money and Growth,”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 24: 553-562. |
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