Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0014125-212854 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0014125-212854
論文名稱
Title
Nvidia GTC 大會對臺灣相關產業上市櫃公司股價影響
The Impact of Nvidia GTC Conference on the Stock Price of TWSE Listed Companies in the Related Industries
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
56
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2024-12-27
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2025-01-14
關鍵字
Keywords
Nvidia、GTC、事件研究法、異常報酬、累積異常報酬
Nvidia, GTC, Event Study Methodology, Abnormal Return, Cumulative Average Abnormal Return
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 47 次,被下載 0
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 47 times, has been downloaded 0 times.
中文摘要
本研究旨在分析2023年Nvidia GPU Technology Conference(GTC)大會對台灣供應鏈相關產業上市櫃公司股價異常報酬(Abnormal Return, AR)及累積平均異常報酬(Cumulative Average Abnormal Return, CAAR)的影響。選擇2023年作為研究年度,是因為該年度Nvidia GTC大會展示了革命性的技術創新,尤其是在生成式人工智慧(Generative AI)領域。此次大會中,Nvidia發佈的最新AI模型與GPU架構不僅顯示出該公司在高性能運算和深度學習技術上的領先地位,亦標誌著生成式AI技術應用的全新時代。由於Nvidia與台灣半導體供應鏈的緊密合作關係,此次技術公佈引發市場高度關注,對相關企業的股價造成顯著影響。
本研究採用事件研究法(Event Study Methodology)來量化GTC大會對台灣相關產業的股價反應,設計事件窗口涵蓋大會期間(2023年3月20日至3月23日)及其前後數個交易日。透過市場模式(Market Model)計算異常報酬(AR),並進一步分析累積平均異常報酬(CAAR),以檢驗市場對該事件的短期與中期反應。本研究分析了台灣上市公司中與Nvidia供應鏈密切相關的主要行業,包括半導體、電腦及週邊設備、通訊網路、電子零組件、電子通路及資訊服務業等六大類別。
本研究提供了Nvidia GTC大會在台灣科技供應鏈市場影響的量化分析,探討 Nvidia GTC 大會對台灣供應鏈相關企業的短期市場反應,發現該事件對多個行業產生了顯著的影響。本研究更進一步揭示了公司市值和財務表現(資產報酬率)對異常報酬的影響,研究結果表明,市值較小和財務狀況較佳的公司,在事件後的異常報酬表現上優於市值較大或財務狀況不佳的公司。而分別從行業差異分析,本研究顯示,不同行業對 Nvidia GTC 公告的市場反應有明顯差異。尤其在半導體業、電腦及週邊設備業、通訊網路業及電子零組件業等行業中,該事件顯示出較強的市場正面反應。
Abstract
This study examines the impact of the 2023 Nvidia GPU Technology Conference (GTC) on abnormal returns (AR) and cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) of Taiwan’s supply chain-related publicly traded companies. The 2023 GTC was notable for unveiling groundbreaking innovations in generative artificial intelligence (Generative AI) and advanced GPU architectures, marking a new era in AI applications. Given Nvidia’s close ties with Taiwan’s semiconductor supply chain, these announcements attracted significant market attention and influenced related companies’ stock prices.
Using the event study methodology, the analysis focuses on an event window spanning the conference period (March 20–23, 2023) and adjacent trading days. Abnormal returns were calculated via the market model, with cumulative average abnormal returns used to gauge short- and medium-term market reactions. The study covers six key industries linked to Nvidia’s supply chain: semiconductors, computer and peripheral equipment, communication and networking, electronic components, electronic distribution, and information services.
Findings reveal that the GTC had a significant positive impact on stock performance across multiple industries. Smaller companies with strong financial performance (higher return on assets) outperformed larger or financially weaker peers in terms of abnormal returns. Industry-specific analysis highlights stronger positive market reactions in the semiconductor, computer and peripheral equipment, communication and networking, and electronic components sectors. This research provides valuable insights into the short-term market influence of Nvidia’s GTC on Taiwan’s technology supply chain.
目次 Table of Contents
論文審定書i
誌謝ii
摘要iii
Abstractiv
目錄v
圖次vi
表次vii
第一章緒論1
第一節研究背景與現況1
第二節研究目的2
第三節Nvidia公司介紹3
第四節研究流程4
第二章文獻探討5
第一節事件研究法文獻回顧5
第二節股價異常報酬文獻回顧8
第三節研究科技公司技術影響的文獻回顧10
第四節研究假說12
第三章研究方法14
第一節事件研究法14
第二節資料來源15
第三節研究架構16
第四節回歸分析16
第四章研究結果與分析19
第一節回歸檢定19
第二節依公司市值分組分析異常報酬的影響22
第三節依ROA分組分析異常報酬的影響23
第四節依產業類別分析異常報酬的影響24
第五章結論與建議41
第一節結論41
第二節建議42
第三節研究限制與未來研究方向43
參考文獻 44
參考文獻 References
Adnan, A. T. M. and Hossain, A. (2016). Impact of M&A Announcement on Acquiring and Target Firm’s Stock Price: An Event Analysis Approach. Business, Economics, International Journal of Finance and Accounting, 5(5), 228-232.
Akerlof, G. A. (1970). The Market for “Lemons”: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(3), 488–500.
Barberis, N., & Thaler, R. (2002). A Survey of Behavioral Finance. NBER Working Paper Series, 9222-.
Benchimol, J., Saadon, Y., & Segev, N. (2023). Stock market reactions to monetary policy surprises under uncertainty. International Review of Financial Analysis, 89, 102783-.
Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.
Bresnahan, T. F., & Trajtenberg, M. (1995). General purpose technologies ‘Engines of growth’? Journal of Econometrics, 65(1), 83–108.
Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1985). Using daily stock returns: The case of event studies. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 3–31.
Capelle-Blancard, G., & Laguna, M.-A. (2010). How does the stock market respond to chemical disasters? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 59(2), 192–205.
Chan, L. K. C., Lakonishok, J., & Sougiannis, T. (2001). The Stock Market Valuation of Research and Development Expenditures. The Journal of Finance (New York), 56(6), 2431–2456.
Chan, Y., & John Wei, K. C. (1996). Political risk and stock price volatility: The case of Hong Kong. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 4(2), 259–275.
Cohen, W. M., & Levinthal, D. A. (1990). Absorptive Capacity: A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation. Administrative Science Quarterly, 35(1), 128–152.
Cusumano, M. A., & Yoffie, D. B. (1998). Competing on Internet time : lessons from Netscape and its battle with Microsoft. Free Press.
De Bondt, W. F. M., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? The Journal of Finance (New York), 40(3), 793–805
Degutis, A. and Novickytė, L. (2014). The Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Critical Review of the Literature and methodology. Ekonomika - Vilniaus Universitetas, 93(2), 7–23
Duso, T., Gugler, K., & Yurtoglu, B. B. (2011). How effective is European merger control? European Economic Review, 55(7), 980–1006
Elad and Bongbee (2016). Event Study on the Reaction of Stock Returns to Acquisition News. Social Science Research Network, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2863243
Engelberg, J. E. and Parsons, C. A. (2011). The Causal Impact of Media in Financial Markets. The Journal of Finance (New York), 66(1), 67–97.
Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance (New York), 25(2), 383-.
Fama, E. F., Fisher, L., Jensen, M. C., & Roll, R. (1969). The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information. International Economic Review (Philadelphia), 10(1), 1–21.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3–56.
Griliches, Z. (1990). Patent Statistics as Economic Indicators: A Survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 28(4), 1661–1707.
Hall, B., & Van Reenen, J. (2000). How effective are fiscal incentives for R&D? A review of the evidence. Research Policy, 29(4), 449–469.
Hall, B. H., Jaffe, A., & Trajtenberg, M. (2005). Market Value and Patent Citations. The Rand Journal of Economics, 36(1), 16–38.
Haque, M. S., Amin, M. S., Miah, J., Cao, D. M. and Ahmed, A. H. (2023). Boosting Stock Price Prediction with Anticipated Macro Policy Changes. Journal of Mathematics and Statistics Studies, 4(3), 29-34.
Jensen, M. C. (1968). The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945-1964. The Journal of Finance (New York), 23(2), 389-.
Kothari, S. P., & Warner, J. B. (1997). Measuring long-horizon security price performance. Journal of Financial Economics, 43(3), 301–339.
Kothari, S. P., & Warner, J. B. (2007). Chapter 1 - Econometrics of Event Studies. In Handbook of Empirical Corporate Finance SET (pp. 3–36). Elsevier B.V.
Kyle, A. S. (1985). Continuous Auctions and Insider Trading. Econometrica, 53(6), 1315–1335.
La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., Vishny, R.W., (1998). Law and finance. The Journal of Political Economy, 106(6), 1113–1155.
Liu, H., Manzoor, A., Wang, C., Zhang, L., & Manzoor, Z. (2020). The COVID-19 Outbreak and Affected Countries Stock Markets Response. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(8), 2800-.
Longstaff, F. A. (2010). The subprime credit crisis and contagion in financial markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 436–450.
MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics and Finance. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(1), 13–39.
Margolis, J. D., & Walsh, J. P. (2003). Misery Loves Companies: Rethinking Social Initiatives by Business. Administrative Science Quarterly, 48(2), 268–305.
McWilliams, A., & Siegel, D. (2000). Corporate social responsibility and financial performance: correlation or misspecification? Strategic Management Journal, 21(5), 603–609
Mitton, T. (2002). A Cross-Firm Analysis of the Impact of Corporate Governance on the East Asian Financial Crisis. The Journal of Financial Economics, 64(2), 215–241.
Porter, M. E. (1985). Competitive advantage : creating and sustaining superior performance. Free Press.
Ross, S. A. (1977). The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive-Signalling Approach. Bell Journal of Economics, 8(1), 23–40.
Schumpeter, J. A. (1934). The Theory of Economic Development. Journal of Comparative Research in Anthropology and Sociology, 3(2).
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1997). A Survey of Corporate Governance. The Journal of Finance (New York), 52(2), 737–783.
Sorescu, A., Warren, N. L., & Ertekin, L. (2017). Event study methodology in the marketing literature: an overview. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 45(2), 186–207.
Teece, D. J. (1986). Profiting from technological innovation: Implications for integration, collaboration, licensing and public policy. Research Policy, 15(6), 285–305.
The Project 2049 Institute, US–Taiwan Business Council. (2023). U.S., Taiwan, and Semiconductors: A Critical Supply Chain Partnership. https://project2049.net/2023/06/21/us-taiwan-and-semiconductors-a-critical-supply-chain-partnership/
Wang, G. (2019). The effects of quantitative easing announcements on the mortgage market: An event study approach. International Journal of Financial Studies, 7(1), 1–30.
Wright, P., Kroll, M., & Elenkov, D. (2002). Acquisition Returns, Increase in Firm Size, and Chief Executive Officer Compensation: The Moderating Role of Monitoring. Academy of Management Journal, 45(3), 599–608.
Zucker, L. G., Darby, M. R., & Armstrong, J. (1998). Geographically Localized Knowledge: Spillovers or Markets? Economic Inquiry, 36(1), 65–86.
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:自定論文開放時間 user define
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus:開放下載的時間 available 2028-01-14
校外 Off-campus:開放下載的時間 available 2028-01-14

您的 IP(校外) 位址是 18.222.140.52
現在時間是 2025-04-09
論文校外開放下載的時間是 2028-01-14

Your IP address is 18.222.140.52
The current date is 2025-04-09
This thesis will be available to you on 2028-01-14.

紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 2028-01-14

QR Code