聯合國大會第十一屆緊急特別會議近來針對俄烏戰爭進行了六次決議，然而各會員國之間的投票行為明顯不一致。因此，本研究從現實主義和自由主義的觀點切入，分別探討國家間戰略關係、國家地緣安全、國家政治體制以及國家經濟利益這四個層面對於聯合國會員國投票行為的影響力。本研究以量化方法中的迴歸，檢證與俄羅斯的戰略關係、與美國的戰略關係、與俄羅斯的距離遠近、民主程度，以及與俄羅斯的經濟互賴程度，這五個解釋變數和投票支持譴責與制裁俄羅斯的正負相關程度。除此之外，也透過解讀各決議的內容以更細緻地分析聯合國會員國的投票行為。研究結果顯示上述五個因素對於投票支持譴責與制裁俄羅斯與否皆有影響，但顯著度最高且最穩定的因素乃民主，其次是與美國的戰略關係，以及與俄羅斯的戰略關係。同時，還發現決議內容是影響聯合國會員國投票行為的潛在因素。本研究全面的分析，揭示了聯合國會員國在大會回應俄烏戰爭所做決策背後的複雜動態與多方考量。

The 11th Emergency Special Session of the United Nations General Assembly has recently adopted six resolutions addressing the Russia-Ukraine War. However, the voting behavior among UN members reveals a notable inconsistency. This study seeks to investigate the impact of interstate strategic relationships, national geopolitical security, regimes, and national economic interests on the voting behavior of UN members, employing the perspectives of realism and liberalism. Utilizing a quantitative approach, specifically regression analysis, the study explores the positive or negative correlations among five explanatory variables in relation to the level of voting support for resolutions condemning and sanctioning Russia. These variables include the strategic relationship with Russia, the strategic relationship with the U.S., geographical proximity to Russia, the level of democracy, and the level of economic interdependence with Russia. Moreover, the study delves into a detailed analysis of each resolution’s content to provide a nuanced understanding of voting behavior among UN members. The research findings indicate that all five factors mentioned above play a role in influencing decision to vote for condemning and imposing sanctions against Russia. Notably, democracy emerges as the most significant and consistent factor, followed by the strategic relationships with the U.S. and Russia. Furthermore, the study reveals that the content of resolution itself serves as a potential element influencing the voting behavior of UN members. This comprehensive analysis illuminates the intricate dynamics and multifaceted considerations in the decision-making of UN members within the United Nations General Assembly in response to the Russia-Ukraine War.

論文審定書 i
摘要 ii
Abstract iii
目錄 iv
圖次 vi
表次 vii
第壹章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 研究目的 3
第貳章 文獻回顧 5
第一節 現實主義觀點 5
第二節 自由主義觀點 9
第參章 理論架構 16
第一節 國家間戰略關係的影響力 16
第二節 國家地緣安全的影響力 20
第三節 國家政治體制的影響力 22
第四節 國家經濟利益的影響力 25
第肆章 研究設計 29
第一節 研究架構 29
第二節 變數說明 30
第三節 分析方法 41
第伍章 經驗證據分析 44
第一節 譴責俄羅斯違反國際法決議的分析 44
第二節 對俄羅斯實施具體制裁決議的分析 66
第三節 聯合國會員國的總體立場 75
第四節 小結 83
第陸章 結論 91
第一節 主要研究發現 91
第二節 研究限制與未來研究展望 96
參考文獻 98
附錄 104

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