Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0506125-090800 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0506125-090800
論文名稱
Title
台灣可轉換公司債發行的估值信號與市場反應
The Valuation Signals and Market Reactions of Convertible Bond Issuance in Taiwan
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
62
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2025-05-08
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2025-06-06
關鍵字
Keywords
可轉換公司債、本益比、本淨比、異常報酬、估值波動性、標準化本益比
Convertible Bonds, Price-to-Earnings Ratio, Price-to-Book Ratio, Cumulative Abnormal Return, Valuation Volatility, Standardized Valuation Metrics
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 344 次,被下載 2
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 344 times, has been downloaded 2 times.
中文摘要
本研究針對2010年至2022年間於台灣市場發行可轉換公司債(Convertible Bonds, CB)之企業,評估其發行時的本益比與股價淨值比水準,並探討這些估值指標與後續股價累積異常報酬(Cumulative Abnormal Return, CAR)之關聯性。實證結果顯示,企業在高本益比或高本淨比情況下發行可轉債,後續累積異常報酬呈現顯著負向,且在中長期事件窗中更為明顯。此外,估值波動性對本淨比具有解釋力與調節效果,顯示當估值穩定性提升時,高估訊號更具預測未來報酬之能力。本研究結果不僅為投資人評估企業發債時點價值提供重要參考,也可作為企業規劃發債時,進行訊號管理與時機選擇之策略依據。
Abstract
This study examines companies in the Taiwanese market that issued convertible bonds (CBs) between 2010 and 2022, focusing on the valuation levels at the time of issuance, specifically the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) and price-to-book ratio (P/B). It explores the relationship between these valuation indicators and subsequent cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) of the issuing firms’ stock prices. The empirical results show that when companies issue convertible bonds at high P/E or high P/B levels, they tend to experience significantly negative cumulative abnormal returns, particularly over medium- to long-term event windows. Furthermore, valuation volatility is found to have both explanatory power and a moderating effect on P/B ratios, suggesting that when valuation stability increases, high-valuation signals become more predictive of future returns. The findings of this study provide important insights for investors in assessing the value of bond issuance timing and serve as a strategic reference for companies in managing signals and selecting optimal issuance timing.
目次 Table of Contents
學位論文審定書 i
摘要 ii
Abstract iii
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的 6
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 可轉換公司發行原因相關文獻 7
第二節 高本益比相關文獻 9
第三節 低本益比相關文獻 11
第四節 研究假設 13
第三章 研究方法與資料 16
第一節 研究樣本與資料來源 16
第二節 研究方法 17
第三節 實證模型 23
第四章 實證結果與分析 27
第一節 基本統計量與相關係數 27
第二節 迴歸結果分析 41
第三節 穩健性測試 48
第五章 結論 50
參考文獻 52

參考文獻 References
1.尤郁凱,(2024),52週高、低點與股票報酬之影響:以可轉換公司債發行為例(碩士論文),中原大學,財務金融系。
2.孫梅瑞、陳珈淇(2010),台灣可轉換公司債之發行、轉換與公司經營績效。台灣金融財務季刊,11卷4期,p. 105-132。
3.袁知鈺,(2019),,可轉換公司債到期日前後對台灣上市櫃公司股價異常報酬之影響(碩士論文),國立台北大學,企業管理學系。
4.廖淑惠(2002),本益比與成長機會策略組合之投資報酬研究,(碩士論文),國防管理學院,國防財務資源研究所。
5.劉美蘭,(1991),台灣股價本益比與報酬率關係之研究,(碩士論文),中興大學,企業管理系碩士論文。
6.劉以真(2000),可轉換公司債發行動機之研究--持續性融資假說之驗證,國立成功大學,企業管理研究所。
7.郭智怡(2017),可轉債傳遞的訊息,,國立高雄應用科技大學,金融資訊碩士在職專班。
8.郭怡君,(2018),探討首次發行可轉換公司債對於股票報酬的宣告效果(碩士論文),國立成功大學,財務金融系。
9.蔡政哲(2003) ,公司財務特質、轉換機率與可轉換公司債融資決策之研究 (碩士論文) ,中原大學國際貿易研究所。
10.蔡揚威(2004),企業發行可轉換公司債對其股價的影響性:以台灣上市上櫃公司為例(碩士論文),國立台灣大學,財務金融學研究所,台北市。
11.謝蘋蘋(2017),未來本益比與營收成長交互關係對股價報酬率之研究。銘傳大學,資訊管理學系碩士論文。
12.鍾俊佑(2016),價值與動能投資策略於台灣股票市場的應用,國立中山大學,財務管理系碩士論文。

貳、英文部分
1.Abarbanell, J. S., & Bushee, B. J. (1997), Fundamental analysis, future earnings, and stock prices, Journal of Accounting Research, 35(1), 1–24.
2.Abarbanell, J., & Bushee, B. J. (1998), Abnormal returns to a fundamental analysis strategy, The Accounting Review, 73(1), 19–45.
3.Basu, S. (1977), Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis, The Journal of Finance, 32(3), 663-682.
4.Banz, R. W. (1981), The relationship between return and market value of common stocks, Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3-18.
5.Brennan, M. J., & Kraus, A. (1984), Corporate finance and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have, Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 273-306.
6.Brennan, M. J., & Schwartz, E. S. (1988), The case for convertibles, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 1(2), 55–64.
7.Brennan, M. J., & Schwartz, E. S. (1988), Economic and financial rationale for convertible debt, Journal of Finance, 43(5), 1163–1181.
8.Bunn, O. D., & Shiller, R. J. (2014), Changing times, changing values: A historical analysis of sectors within the US stock market 1872–2013 (NBER Working Paper No. 20370), National Bureau of Economic Research.
9.Donaldson, G. (1961), Corporate Debt Capacity: A Study of Corporate Debt Policy and the Determination of Corporate Debt Capacity, Boston: Harvard Business School.
10.Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1995), Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns, The Journal of Finance, 50(1), 131-155.
11.Graham, B., & Dodd, D. (1934), Security Analysis: Principles and Technique, New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company.
12.Graham, B., & Meredith, S. B. (1937), The Interpretation of Financial Statements. New York: Harper & Brothers.
13.Green, R. C. (1984), Investment incentives, debt, and warrants. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(1), 115–136. Jaffe, J., Keim, D. B., & Westerfield, R. (1989), Earnings yields, market values, and stock returns, The Journal of Finance, 44(1), 135-148.
14.Keim, D. B. (1990), Size, seasonality and stock return patterns, Journal of Financial Economics, 12(1), 13–32.
15.Keim, D. B. (1990), A new look at the effects of firm size and E/P ratio on stock returns, Financial Analysts Journal, 46(2), 56–68.
16.Lev, B., & Sougiannis, T. (1996), The capitalization, amortization, and value-relevance of R&D, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 21(1), 107–138.
17.Lam, K. (2002), The relationship between size, book-to-market equity ratio, earnings–price ratio, and return for the Hong stock market, Global Finance Journal, 13(2), 163–179.
18. Leland, H. E., & Pyle, D. H. (1977), Informational asymmetries, financial structure, and financial intermediation, The Journal of Finance, 32(2), 371-387.
19. Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984), Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have, Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 187-221.
20. Morris, J. R., & Thomas, W. B. (2001), P/E ratios and stock price performance. Journal of Portfolio Management, 27(3), 83-91.
21. Roll, R. (1981), A possible explanation of the small firm effect, The Journal of Finance, 36(4), 879–888.
22. Stein, J. C. (1992), Convertible bonds as backdoor equity financing, Journal of Financial Economics, 32(1), 3–21.
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus: 已公開 available
校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available


紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 已公開 available

QR Code