政府選擇新的能源政策的同時，必須考慮影響的範圍及影響後的結果，本研究利用Eviews軟體，使用時間序列分析方法，針對台灣與韓國1990-2014年的資料，進行能源消費、二氧化碳排放量與經濟成長之實證。
實證結果表明，台灣方面能源消費與經濟成長具有雙向因果關係，避免能源消費對於經濟的影響，應提高能源效率及再生能源取代化石燃料。經濟成長與二氧化碳排放量具有單向因果關係，顯示為維持經濟成長的穩定及環境，應考慮能源轉型或實施碳交易。二氧化碳排放量與能源消費量具有雙向因果關係，應充分及運用再生能源。
韓國方面，經濟成長與能源消費量具有單向因果關係，但是經濟成長與二氧化碳排放量、二氧化碳排放量與能源消費量皆不具有因果關係，在實施政策方面，韓國較台灣限制較少。

The government must consider the scope of the impact and the consequences when it chooses a new energy policy. This study using EViews software, uses the time series analysis method to analyze energy consumption, carbon dioxide emission and economic growth through the data of Taiwan and Korea from 1990 to 2014.
In Taiwan the empirical results show that there is a two-way causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, avoiding the impact of energy consumption on the economy, we should increase energy efficiency and replace fossil fuels with renewable energies. Economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions have a one-way causal relationship, indicating that in order to maintain the stability of economic growth and environment, should consider energy transformation or the implementation of carbon trading. Carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption have a two-way causal relationship, should be fully and use of renewable energy.
In South Korea, economic growth and energy consumption has a one-way causal relationship, but economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions, carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption are not causal relationship, in the implementation of policies, South Korea than Taiwan less restrictive.

論文審定書…………………………………………………………………………….i
誌謝……………………………………………………………………………………ii
中文摘要………………………………………………………………….………..…iii
英文摘要………………………………………………………………………………iv
目 錄……………………….………………………………...…….…………….........v
圖 次……………………………………………………..……..….……………...….vi
表 次…………………………………………………….…………………..…..……vii
第一章 緒論…..……………………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究背景…………..…………………………………………………1
第二節 研究動機…………..…………………………………………………2
第三節 研究目的…………..…………………………………………………4
第二章 文獻回顧………………………………………………………………..…5
第一節 國外文獻…………..…………………………………………………5
第二節 國內文獻……................…………………………………..……..…7
第三章 研究方法………………………………………………………………..…9
第一節 單根檢定…………..…………………………………..……………11
第二節 最適落後期數檢定…..………………………………..……………14
第三節 共整合檢定…………..…………………………………..…………15
第四節 向量自我迴歸模型……………………………………..………..…18
第五節 向量誤差修正模型…………………………………………………19
第六節 Granger因果關係檢定.…………………………………….………20
第四章 實證分析…………………………………………………………….……22
第一節 資料說明……………………………………………………………22
第二節 單根檢定……………………………………………………………22
第三節 最適落後期數………………………………………………………25
第四節 共整合檢定…………………………………………………………25
第五節 向量誤差修正模型…………………………………………………26
第六節 Granger因果關係檢定………………………………………….….28
第五章 結論與建議…………………………………………………………….…30
第一節 結論…………………………………………………………………30
第二節 建議…………………………………………………………………32
參考文獻……………………………………………………………………………..33
一、中文部分…………………………………………………………...……..33
二、英文部分…………………………………………………………...……..33

一、中文部分
1.李高朝，2013。能源、二氧化碳與台灣經濟，經濟部溫室氣體減量資訊網，2013年2月期刊，1-15。
2.李炳軒、張寶仁，2011。韓國的能源戰略研究。中國吉林大學東北亞研究所博士論文。
3.陳旭昇，2013。時間序列分析:總體經濟與財務金融之應用，台北市，台灣東華。
4.郭國誠、郭正傑、張琦雅，2012。經濟成長、出口與能源消費因果關係探討:以台灣與韓國為例。第十
五屆決策分析研討會，2012/01/07，國立清華大學，Society for Excelling Enterprises and Decisions
(SEED), Taiwan Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, National Tsing
Hua University, Taiwan。
5.黃台心，2002。出口與經濟成長的因果關係: 台灣的實證研究，經濟論文叢刊, 30(4), 465-490。
6.楊奕農，2009。時間序列分析-經濟與財務上之應用，台北市，雙葉書廊。
7.楊朝峰、陳偉忠，2005。能源消費和經濟增長:基於中國的實證研究，中國石油大學學報 (社會科學版),
21(1), 18-22。.
二、英文部分
1.Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2000). The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic
growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries. Energy Economics, 22(6), 615-625.
2.Ahmad, N., & Du, L. (2017). Effects of energy production and CO2 emissions on economic growth in Iran: ARDL approach. Energy, 123, 521-537.
3.Bowden, N., & Payne, J. E. (2009). The causal relationship between US energy consumption and real output: a disaggregated analysis. Journal of Policy Modeling, 31(2), 180-188.
4.Chang, C. C. (2010). A multivariate causality test of carbon dioxide emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in China. Applied Energy, 87(11), 3533-3537.
5.Dagher, L., & Yacoubian, T. (2012). The causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Lebanon. Energy Policy, 50, 795-801.
6.Glasure, Y. U., & Lee, A. R. (1998). Cointegration, error-correction, and the relationship between GDP and energy: The case of South Korea and Singapore. Resource and Energy Economics, 20(1), 17-25.
7.Global Carbon Budget (2017). Earth System Science Date Discussions, 1-79.
8.Nature Climate Change (2017), Volume 7, Issue 6, 403-406.
9.Odhiambo, N. M. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Energy Policy, 37(2), 617-622.
10.Oh, W., & Lee, K. (2004). Energy consumption and economic growth in Korea: testing the causality relation. Journal of Policy Modeling, 26(8), 973-981.
11.Odhiambo, N. M. (2010). Energy consumption, prices and economic growth in three SSA countries: A comparative study. Energy Policy, 38(5), 2463-2469.
12.Pao, H. T., & Tsai, C. M. (2010). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in BRIC countries. Energy Policy, 38(12), 7850-7860.
13.Soytas, U., & Sari, R. (2003). Energy consumption and GDP: causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets. Energy Economics, 25(1), 33-37.
14.Saboori, B., & Sulaiman, J. (2013). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries: a cointegration approach. Energy, 55, 813-822.
15.Salahuddin, M., & Gow, J. (2014). Economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Gulf Cooperation Council countries. Energy, 73, 44-58.
16.Wang, Y., Wang, Y., Zhou, J., Zhu, X., & Lu, G. (2011). Energy consumption and economic growth in China: a multivariate causality test. Energy Policy, 39(7), 4399-4406.
17.Yang, H. Y. (2000). A note on the causal relationship between energy and GDP in Taiwan. Energy Economics, 22(3), 309-317.
18.Yoo, S. H., & Ku, S. J. (2009). Causal relationship between nuclear energy consumption and economic growth: A multi-country analysis. Energy Policy, 37(5), 1905-1913.
19.Zhang, X. P., & Cheng, X. M. (2009). Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China. Ecological Economics, 68(10), 2706-2712.

三、網站資訊
1.行政院環境保護署
https://www.epa.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=10052&ctNode=31352&mp=epa
2.行政院主計總處
https://www.dgbas.gov.tw/pointlist.asp
3.台灣環境資訊中心
http://e-info.org.tw/node/208498
4.世界銀行資料庫
https://data.worldbank.org/