Responsive image
博碩士論文 etd-0617123-232338 詳細資訊
Title page for etd-0617123-232338
論文名稱
Title
投資人情緒對營收宣告後效果的影響
The Impact of Investor Sentiment on the Stock Market Response to Revenues Announcements
系所名稱
Department
畢業學年期
Year, semester
語文別
Language
學位類別
Degree
頁數
Number of pages
45
研究生
Author
指導教授
Advisor
召集委員
Convenor
口試委員
Advisory Committee
口試日期
Date of Exam
2023-06-21
繳交日期
Date of Submission
2023-07-17
關鍵字
Keywords
投資人情緒、情緒指標、營收公告、未預期營收、股票市場反應
Investor Sentiment, Sentiment Index, Revenue Announcements, Revenue Surprises, Stock Market Response
統計
Statistics
本論文已被瀏覽 149 次,被下載 6
The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 149 times, has been downloaded 6 times.
中文摘要
本研究以2016年至2022年台灣證券交易所上市公司公告合併營業收入為研究對象,結合投資人情緒指標,透過事件研究法,計算營收公告事件的累積異常報酬(Cumulative Abnormal Return),再運用最小平方法(OLS),以迴歸分析探討情緒對公司營業收入公告之股價反應的影響。接著再進一步以產業、股利殖利率、散戶構面等特性,區分研究樣本進行差異化的分析,檢視不同特性下情緒對公司營業收入公告之股價反應的影響是否有差異。
本研究實證結果顯示,當未預期營收好消息公告時,投資人情緒與股價反應呈同向變動,也就是股價對營收好消息的敏感性在情緒樂觀時會更高 ; 當未預期營收壞消息公告時,投資人情緒與股價反應則呈反向變動,也就是股價對營收壞消息的敏感性在情緒悲觀時更高。而電子股相較非電子股,在營收宣告的股價反應上更容易受到情緒的影響。此外,情緒對好消息公告的股價反應會因為散戶的集中程度、交易熱度、行為模式不同而變化,對累積異常報酬的影響也較壞消息公告更顯著。

Abstract
This study examines the impact of investor sentiment on the stock price response to revenue announcements of listed companies on the Taiwan Stock Exchange from 2016 to 2022. By employing event study methodology, we calculate the Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR) of revenue announcement events and use Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis to investigate the influence of sentiment on the stock price response to revenue announcements. Furthermore, we conduct differentiated analysis by industry, dividend yield, retail investor participation, and trading activity to examine whether the impact of sentiment on stock price response to revenue announcements varies across different characteristics.
The empirical findings of this study reveal that when unexpected positive revenue news is announced, investor sentiment and stock price response move in the same direction, indicating that stock prices are more sensitive to positive revenue news under optimistic sentiment. Conversely, when unexpected negative revenue news is announced, investor sentiment and stock price response exhibit opposite movements, suggesting that stock prices are more sensitive to negative revenue news under pessimistic sentiment. Moreover, electronic stocks are more susceptible to the influence of sentiment on stock price reactions to revenue announcements compared to non-electronic stocks. In addition, the impact of sentiment on stock price reactions to positive revenue announcements varies based on the concentration, trading activity, and behavioral patterns of retail investors. This impact is more pronounced compared to the effect on stock price reactions to negative revenue announcements.
目次 Table of Contents
論文審定書 i
中文摘要 ii
英文摘要 iii
第一章、緒論 1
第二章、文獻回顧與假說建立 3
2.1 投資人情緒對股票市場的影響 3
2.2 情緒和盈餘宣告效果 4
2.3 假說建立 5
第三章、樣本描述與研究設計 7
3.1 資料來源與樣本選取 7
3.2 變數定義與衡量方式 8
3.3 實證模型 11
第四章、實證結果 17
4.1 敘述性統計 17
4.2 迴歸模型結果 18
第五章、結論 36
參考文獻 38

參考文獻 References
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). Investor sentiment in the stock market. Journal of economic perspectives, 21(2), 129-151.
Bali, T. G., Cakici, N., & Whitelaw, R. F. (2011). Maxing out: Stocks as lotteries and the cross-section of expected returns. Journal of financial economics, 99(2), 427-446.
Ball, R., & Brown, P. (1968). An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of accounting research, 159-178.
Bandopadhyaya, A., & Jones, A. L. (2008). Measures of investor sentiment: A comparative analysis put-call ratio vs. volatility index. Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER), 6(8).
Blume, M. E., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1983). Biases in computed returns: An application to the size effect. Journal of financial economics, 12(3), 387-404.
Conrad, J., Cornell, B., & Landsman, W. R. (2002). When is bad news really bad news?. The Journal of Finance, 57(6), 2507-2532.
Cornelli, F., Goldreich, D., & Ljungqvist, A. (2006). Investor sentiment and pre‐IPO markets. The journal of finance, 61(3), 1187-1216.
Fu, H. P., & Chen, S. H. (2014). Two-Period Revenue Surprises and Investor Sentiment in Taiwan. Sun Yat-Sen Management Review, 22(1), 115-156.
Hirshleifer, D., Jiang, D., & DiGiovanni, Y. M. (2020). Mood beta and seasonalities in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 137(1), 272-295.
Jegadeesh, N., & Livnat, J. (2006). Post-earnings-announcement drift: The role of revenue surprises. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(2), 22-34.
Kasznik, R., & McNichols, M. F. (2002). Does meeting earnings expectations matter? Evidence from analyst forecast revisions and share prices. Journal of Accounting research, 40(3), 727-759.
Kumar, A. (2009). Who gambles in the stock market?. The Journal of Finance, 64(4), 1889-1933.
Kumar, A., & Lee, C. M. (2006). Retail investor sentiment and return comovements. The Journal of Finance, 61(5), 2451-2486.
Lee, C. M. (2001). Market efficiency and accounting research: a discussion of ‘capital market research in accounting’by SP Kothari. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 31(1-3), 233-253.
Lemmon, M., & Portniaguina, E. (2006). Consumer confidence and asset prices: Some empirical evidence. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(4), 1499-1529.
Lipe, M. G. (1998). Individual investors' risk judgments and investment decisions: The impact of accounting and market data. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 23(7), 625-640.
Livnat, J., & Mendenhall, R. R. (2006). Comparing the post–earnings announcement drift for surprises calculated from analyst and time series forecasts. Journal of accounting research, 44(1), 177-205.
Livnat, J., & Petrovits, C. (2009, June). Investor sentiment, post-earnings announcement drift, and accruals. Unpublished working paper, New York University.
Mian, G. M., & Sankaraguruswamy, S. (2012). Investor sentiment and stock market response to earnings news. The Accounting Review, 87(4), 1357-1384.
Seybert, N., & Yang, H. I. (2012). The party's over: The role of earnings guidance in resolving sentiment-driven overvaluation. Management Science, 58(2), 308-319.
許溪南, 郭玟秀, & 鄭乃誠. (2005). 投資人情緒與股價報酬波動之互動關係: 台灣股市之實證. 台灣金融財務季刊, 6(3), 107-121.
周賓凰, 張宇志, & 林美珍. (2007). 投資人情緒與股票報酬互動關係. 證券市場發展季刊: 行為財務學特別專刊, 19, 153-190.
蔡佩蓉, 王元章, & 張眾卓. (2009). 投資人情緒, 公司特徵與台灣股票報酬之研究. 經濟研究, 45(2), 273-322.
王韻怡, 池祥萱, & 周冠男. (2016). 行為財務學文獻回顧與展望: 台灣市場之研究. 經濟論文叢刊, 44(1), 1-55.
電子全文 Fulltext
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。
論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus: 已公開 available
校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available


紙本論文 Printed copies
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。
開放時間 available 已公開 available

QR Code