論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted
開放時間 Available:
校內 Campus: 已公開 available
校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available
論文名稱 Title |
台灣投資者關注度與股票報酬之相關性 The Co-movement of Investors' Attention and Stock Returns in Taiwan |
||
系所名稱 Department |
|||
畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
||
學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
59 |
|
研究生 Author |
|||
指導教授 Advisor |
|||
召集委員 Convenor |
|||
口試委員 Advisory Committee |
|||
口試日期 Date of Exam |
2023-06-21 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2023-08-14 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
散戶、關注度、Google搜尋量指數、樂透彩、樂透型股票、賭博情緒 Retail Investor, Investor Attention, Google search Volume Index(SVI), Lottery, Lottery-type Stock, Gambling Sentiment |
||
統計 Statistics |
本論文已被瀏覽 144 次,被下載 6 次 The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 144 times, has been downloaded 6 times. |
中文摘要 |
本文以2014年至2022年台灣上市、上櫃公司作為研究樣本,以Google 搜尋量指數(SVI)作為投資者關注程度之衡量變數,並使用台灣大額頭獎的公益彩券作為投資者對於股票市場關注度的外生衝擊,以探討投資者股票市場關注度對於股票報酬的影響。實證結果如下:(1)投資者對於市場關注度與彩券的大額頭獎日呈現顯著負向關係;(2)在大額彩票日,股票報酬與市場之間共移性顯著增加,推論其原因為在注意力有限的情況下,投資者在股票市場選擇性的關注更多總體消息,從而使股票報酬中含有更多的總體訊息所致;(3)在樂透型股票中,散戶較為偏好的股票,其股票報酬與市場之間的共移性存在更為顯著正向關係。總結以上結果,本文發現在台灣股票市場中,大額頭獎的彩券能夠將台灣投資者對於市場的關注度吸引過來,使其傾向關注總體特定訊息,減少關注公司基本面的特定信息,導致股票報酬與市場產生共移效果。此外,此情況在散戶偏好的樂透型股票更為顯著,且本研究發現並不是由賭博情緒所引發的。 |
Abstract |
This study investigates how investor attention impacts stock returns using Google Search Volume Index (SVI) to measure attention and significant lottery jackpots in Taiwan as an external attention shock. The dataset covers Taiwan's listed and OTC stock mar kets between 2014 and 2022. The findings are as follows: (1) Investor attention and large lottery jackpots exhibit a negative relationship; (2) On days with such jackpots, the correlation between stock returns and the market substantially rises. This impli es that within a context of limited attention, investors pay more heed to overall market news, leading to the infusion of greater macroeconomic information into stock returns. Additionally, among lottery type stocks favored by retail investors, the correla tion between stock returns and the market is even more positive, independent of gambling sentiment. This underscores that in Taiwan's stock market, significant lottery jackpots capture investor attention, prompting them to selectively concentrate on macroe conomic market data, thereby generating a synchronized co movement between stock returns and the market. |
目次 Table of Contents |
論文審定書......................................................................................................................... i 致謝 .............................................................................................................................. ii 摘要 ............................................................................................................................. iii Abstract..............................................................................................................................iv Content ..............................................................................................................................v List of Tables.....................................................................................................................vi 1. Introduction.............................................................................................................1 2. literature review.......................................................................................................5 2-1. The Impact of Rational Inattention on Stock Returns..............................................5 2-2. The Relationship Between Retail Investor Preferences and Lottery-Type Stocks ......6 2-3. Formulation of the Hypothesis ..............................................................................8 3. Research Methodology...........................................................................................10 3-1. Data Source and Sample Description ...................................................................10 3-2. Main Research Variables....................................................................................12 3-3. Research Methodology and Model ......................................................................17 4. Empirical Results...................................................................................................26 4-1. Sample Descriptive Statistics and Correlation Coefficient Analysis.......................26 4-2. Hypothesis Testing and Regression Results..........................................................31 5. Conclusions and Suggestions..................................................................................47 References.........................................................................................................................50 |
參考文獻 References |
Antón, M., & Polk, C. (2014). Connected stocks. The Journal of Finance 69 (3), 1099 1127. Bali, T. G., Brown, S. J., & Caglayan, M. O. (2011). Do hedge funds' exposures to risk factors predict their future returns?. Journal of financial economics 101 (1), 36 68. Barberis, N., & Shleifer, A. (2003). Style investing. Journal of financial Economics 68 (2), 161 199. Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., & Wurgler, J. (2005). Comovement. Journal of financial economics 75 (2), 283 317. Barberis, N., & Huang, M. (2008). Stocks as lotteries: The implications of probability weighting for security prices. American Economic Review 98 (5), 2066 2100. Boyer, T. W. (2006). The development of risk taking: A multi perspective review. Developmental review 26 (3), 291 345. Chen, Y., Kumar, A ., & Zhang, C. (2015). Searching for gambles: Investor attention, gambling sentiment, and stock market outcomes. SSRN Electronic Journal Da, Z., Engelberg, J., & Gao, P. (2011). In search of attention. The journal of finance 66 (5), 1461 1499. Dorn, A. J. J., Dorn, D., & Sengmueller, P. (2015). Trading as gambling. Management Science, 61(10), 2376 2393 Durnev, A., Morck, R., & Yeung, B. (2004). Value Value‐enhancing capital budgeting and firmfirm‐specific stock return variation. The Journal of Finance 59 (1), 65 105. Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks 51 and bonds. and bonds. Journal of financial economicsJournal of financial economics,, 3333(1), 3(1), 3--56.56. 12. Gao, X., & Lin, T. C. (2015). Do individual investors treat trading as a fun and Gao, X., & Lin, T. C. (2015). Do individual investors treat trading as a fun and exciting gambling activity? Eexciting gambling activity? Evidence from repeated natural experiments.vidence from repeated natural experiments. The The Review of Financial StudiesReview of Financial Studies,, 2828(7), 2128(7), 2128--2166.2166. 13. Ginsberg, J., Mohebbi, M. H., Patel, R. S., Brammer, L., Smolinski, M. S., & Ginsberg, J., Mohebbi, M. H., Patel, R. S., Brammer, L., Smolinski, M. S., & Brilliant, L. (2009). Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query Brilliant, L. (2009). Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data.data. NNatureature,, 457457(7232), 1012(7232), 1012--1014.1014. 14. Green, T. C., & Hwang, B. H. (2009). PriceGreen, T. C., & Hwang, B. H. (2009). Price--based return comovement.based return comovement. Journal of Journal of Financial EconomicsFinancial Economics,, 9393(1), 37(1), 37--50.50. 15. Green, T. C., & Hwang, B. H. (2012). Initial public offerings as lotteries: Skewness Green, T. C., & Hwang, B. H. (2012). Initial public offerings as lotteries: Skewness preference and firstpreference and first--day retday returns.urns. Management ScienceManagement Science,, 5858(2), 432(2), 432--444.444. 16. Greenwood, R., & Thesmar, D. (2011). Stock price fragility.Greenwood, R., & Thesmar, D. (2011). Stock price fragility. Journal of Financial Journal of Financial EconomicsEconomics,, 102102(3), 471(3), 471--490.490. 17. Grinblatt, M., & Keloharju, M. (2009). Sensation seeking, overconfidence, and Grinblatt, M., & Keloharju, M. (2009). Sensation seeking, overconfidence, and trading activity.trading activity. The JournThe Journal of Financeal of Finance,, 6464(2), 549(2), 549--578.578. 18. Huang, S., Huang, Y., & Lin, T. C. (2019). Attention allocation and return coHuang, S., Huang, Y., & Lin, T. C. (2019). Attention allocation and return co--movement: Evidence from repeated natural experiments.movement: Evidence from repeated natural experiments. Journal of Financial Journal of Financial EconomicsEconomics,, 132132(2), 369(2), 369--383.383. 19. Kacperczyk, M., Nieuwerburgh, S. V., & VeldkKacperczyk, M., Nieuwerburgh, S. V., & Veldkamp, L. (2014). Timeamp, L. (2014). Time‐varying fund varying fund manager skill.manager skill. The Journal of FinanceThe Journal of Finance,, 6969(4), 1455(4), 1455--1484.1484. 20. Kahneman, D. (1973).Kahneman, D. (1973). Attention and effortAttention and effort (Vol. 1063, pp. 218(Vol. 1063, pp. 218--226). Englewood 226). Englewood Cliffs, NJ: PrenticeCliffs, NJ: Prentice--Hall.Hall. 21. Kumar, A. (2009). Who gambles in the stock market?.Kumar, A. (2009). Who gambles in the stock market?. The JourThe Journal of Financenal of Finance,, 6464(4), (4), 18891889--1933.1933. 22. Kumar, A., Page, J. K., & Spalt, O. G. (2013). Investor sentiment and return Kumar, A., Page, J. K., & Spalt, O. G. (2013). Investor sentiment and return 52 comovements: Evidence from stock splits and headquarters changes. comovements: Evidence from stock splits and headquarters changes. Review of Review of FinanceFinance,, 1717(3), 921(3), 921--953.953. 23. Kumar, A., Page, J. K., & Spalt, O. G. (2016). Gambling and comovement.Kumar, A., Page, J. K., & Spalt, O. G. (2016). Gambling and comovement. Journal Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysisof Financial and Quantitative Analysis,, 5151(1), 85(1), 85--111.111. 24. Liu, H., & Peng, L. (2015). Investor attention: Seasonal patterns and endogenous Liu, H., & Peng, L. (2015). Investor attention: Seasonal patterns and endogenous allocations. Inallocations. In Proceedings of the FMA AProceedings of the FMA Annual Meetingnnual Meeting.. 25. Morck, R., Yeung, B., & Yu, W. (2000). The information content of stock markets: Morck, R., Yeung, B., & Yu, W. (2000). The information content of stock markets: why do emerging markets have synchronous stock price movements?.why do emerging markets have synchronous stock price movements?. Journal of Journal of financial economicsfinancial economics,, 5858(1(1--2), 2152), 215--260.260. 26. Neal, R., & Wheatley, S. M. (1998). Do measurNeal, R., & Wheatley, S. M. (1998). Do measures of investor sentiment predict es of investor sentiment predict returns?.returns?. Journal of Financial and Quantitative AnalysisJournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,, 3333(4), 523(4), 523--547.547. 27. Peng, L., & Xiong, W. (2006). Investor attention, overconfidence and category Peng, L., & Xiong, W. (2006). Investor attention, overconfidence and category learning.learning. Journal of Financial EconomicsJournal of Financial Economics,, 8080(3), 563(3), 563--602.602. 28. Simon, H. A.,Simon, H. A., & Newell, A. (1971). Human problem solving: The state of the theory & Newell, A. (1971). Human problem solving: The state of the theory in 1970.in 1970. American psychologistAmerican psychologist,, 2626(2), 145.(2), 145. 29. Sims, C. A. (1998). Stickiness. InSims, C. A. (1998). Stickiness. In CarnegieCarnegie--rochester conference series on public rochester conference series on public policypolicy (Vol. 49, pp. 317(Vol. 49, pp. 317--356). North356). North--Holland.Holland. |
電子全文 Fulltext |
本電子全文僅授權使用者為學術研究之目的,進行個人非營利性質之檢索、閱讀、列印。請遵守中華民國著作權法之相關規定,切勿任意重製、散佈、改作、轉貼、播送,以免觸法。 論文使用權限 Thesis access permission:校內校外完全公開 unrestricted 開放時間 Available: 校內 Campus: 已公開 available 校外 Off-campus: 已公開 available |
紙本論文 Printed copies |
紙本論文的公開資訊在102學年度以後相對較為完整。如果需要查詢101學年度以前的紙本論文公開資訊,請聯繫圖資處紙本論文服務櫃台。如有不便之處敬請見諒。 開放時間 available 已公開 available |
QR Code |