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論文名稱 Title |
租賃公司對中小企業之授信評量因子與違約風險之研究 Research on the relationship of credit assessment and default risk leasing companies to SMes |
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系所名稱 Department |
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畢業學年期 Year, semester |
語文別 Language |
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學位類別 Degree |
頁數 Number of pages |
70 |
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研究生 Author |
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指導教授 Advisor |
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召集委員 Convenor |
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口試委員 Advisory Committee |
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口試日期 Date of Exam |
2023-07-13 |
繳交日期 Date of Submission |
2023-08-22 |
關鍵字 Keywords |
中小企業、租賃公司、授信評量因子、卡方檢定、T檢定、生存分析法、羅吉斯Logistic迴歸模型 SMEs, leasing companies, credit evaluation factors, Chi-square test, T test, Survival analysis, Logistic regression |
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統計 Statistics |
本論文已被瀏覽 222 次,被下載 5 次 The thesis/dissertation has been browsed 222 times, has been downloaded 5 times. |
中文摘要 |
台灣產業結構以中小企業的為主,根據《2021年中小企業白皮書》資料,資本額1億以下或雇用人數未滿200人為中小企業,2020年中小企業約154萬家,佔全體企業約98.93%,就業人數達931萬人,佔總就業人口80.94%,由此可知中小企業為台灣經濟發展的基礎;中小企業財務報表以少繳稅為原則,常見有營收短開、資產未入帳、財務資訊不透明等現象,而銀行不輕易借款給財務不透明的中小企業,而且中小企業交易條件相對於大型企業弱勢,收款期長,付款期短,導致營運週轉金缺口,此時融資租賃公司提供一種更適合中小企業的融資管道。 相較於銀行通常只接受不動產擔保融資,融資租賃公司可以融物方式進行融資,可以接受的動產如機器設備、航空器、船舶、車輛、甚至不動產次順位抵押,針對借款人的風險程度與抵押品的價值,以差異條件提供融資方案,可以為中小企業提供銀行無法補足的資金缺口,融資租賃公司的融資方式多元且彈性,收取利率也較銀行高,面臨借款人違約風險也更大,故需透過控管風險才能確保授信之獲利。 本研究對象為租賃公司2018年~2022年間已往來270筆客戶,其中210筆正常客戶、60筆違約客戶,以下列方法進行研究(1)卡方檢定及T檢定進行各項授信評量因子與違約戶是否存在顯著差異、(2)生存分析法預測借款人發生違約時點(3)羅吉斯Logistic迴歸模型進行違約戶與授信評量因子之預測與關聯性分析。 研究分析中小企業各項授信評量因子與違約的關聯性,並預測借款人發生違約時點,可幫助租賃公司評估借款人條件,調整利息、還款期數與強化抵押品,確保回收資金與獲利之重要參考 |
Abstract |
Taiwan's industrial structure is dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). According to the "2021 SMEs White Paper ", SMEs are considered to have a capital of less than 100 million or employ less than 200 people. In 2020, the amount of SMEs were about 1.54 million, accounting for about 98.93% of all enterprises. , the number of employed people reached 9.31 million, accounting for 80.94% of the total employed population, therefore SMEs are the foundation of Taiwan's economic development; the financial statements of SMEs are based on the principle of paying less tax, and it is common to have short revenue, unaccounted assets, and financial statements are not transparent. and banks do not easily lend to SMEs with window dressing, and the trading conditions of SMEs are weaker than large enterprises, the collection period is long, and the payment period is short, resulting in a gap in operating working capital. At this time, financial leasing companies provide a more Financing channels for SMEs. Compared with banks that usually only accept real estate secured, leasing companies can acceptable movable properties such as machinery and equipment, aircraft, ships, vehicles, and even real estate mortgages in the second order are based on the borrower's risk level and collateral. leasing companies provide financing solutions with different conditions, which can provide SMEs with funding gaps that cannot be filled by banks. The financing methods of leasing companies are diversified and flexible, and the interest rates charged are higher than banks. Only control risk can ensure the profit of credit The sample of this study is the leasing company's 270 customers from 2018 to 2022, including 210 normal customers and 60 default customers. The following methods are used (1) Chi-square test and T test to evaluate the relationship between various credit assessment and default, (3) Logistic regression model to predict and correlate between defaulters and credit evaluation factors, (2) Survival analysis to predict the time of borrower default. This study analyzes the correlation between various credit assessment factors and defaults of SMEs, and predicts the time when the borrower defaults, which can help leasing companies evaluate borrower conditions, adjust interest, repayment period and strengthen collateral, so as to ensure that the recovery of funds and an important reference for profit. |
目次 Table of Contents |
目錄 國立中山大學研究生學位論文審定書 i 摘要 ii Abstract iii 圖次 vii 表次 viii 第一章 緒論1 第一節 研究背景1 第二節 研究動機2 第三節 研究目的:3 第四節 研究流程與方法:4 第二章 租賃業務5 第一節 放款市場5 第二節 租賃公司6 第三節 租賃往來方式:10 第四節 案件審查的授信五大重點:14 第三章 文獻探討18 第一節 中小企業:18 第二節 授信原則19 第三節 財務指標:21 第四節 信用風險模型:22 第四章 研究方法24 第一節 研究對象:24 第二節 研究方法:32 第五章 結論與未來展望51 參考文獻53 附錄 56 |
參考文獻 References |
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